Myers Research & Strategic Services for Mark Schauer (5/8-15, likely voters):
Mark Schauer (D): 37
Tim Walberg (R-inc.): 40
(MoE: ±4.0%)
After Tim Walberg released an internal poll yesterday showing that he was up 47-31, the Schauer campaign pulled a rabbit out of the hat, releasing their own dueling internal showing a small Schauer lead. (Although it seems like the rabbit has been sitting in the hat for a long time, waiting for a Walberg poll to rebut; check out the polling date.)
Walberg is a one-term incumbent who won a Club for Growth-funded primary challenge in 2006 against moderate incumbent Joe Schwarz, and then defeated Sharon Renier by less than four points after outspending her $1,200,000 to $46,000. He has a Progressive Punch score of 5.38 in a district that’s R+2.
Swing State Project currently rates this race as Lean Republican.
in your post of why it should be a tossup or even Lean Dem. He only slightly beat a non-funded challenger last time. Now he has a juicy out of touch voting record and is being outraised and will be outspent to the tune of a million dollars. If he almost lost last time, how does he win this time?
a poll from… May?? Didn’t he, you know, have anything more recent? :-\